A blog post

Losing Optimism: Will Millennials Mobilize Soon?

Posted on the 08 December, 2009 at 12:10 am Written by Carol Phillips in Blog, Gen Y, Gen Y Trends, Millennials Research, Recession, Research

sadworkerUnemployment is the story of year, and by now we all know young adults are suffering most. Several new studies show just how much pain they are enduring.

The Lumin Collaborative, an association of PR firms just released a study of  1,000 Millennials, ages 18-27,  focused on understanding their changing expectations of the workplace. The study shows nearly all have been either directly or indirectly affected by unemployment.

  • Over half (55 percent) have experienced a layoff or loss of work in their family within the past year.
  • Nearly three-fourths (72 percent) feel threatened by a possible layoff or loss of work in the coming months. 
  •  Two-thirds (66%) say they have lowered their expectations of being promoted. This compares to 51% among other workers.

Given the deep reach of the recession, it’s not surprising that economic worries are top of mind with Gen Y. A mobile survey of over three hundred 18-24 year olds reported this week by Engage Gen Y revealed the overwhelming concern is “The Future. College. Jobs. The Economy“’.  One 24-year-old male said: “Jobs and our future are a big concern. We are a really talented bunch that just happens to be at the height of our ambition at the exact time the economy is hurting.” This finding was confirmed by a recent Harvard poll (reported by Don Tapscott’s blog).

“The economy is unquestionably the top national issue of concern for young people today.  Almost half of 18-29-year olds today (48%) say economic issues are their foremost concern, more than double the second highest issue (health care: 21%) and nearly five times the third highest (War: 10%).”

With sentiment this strong, it won’t be long before Millennials start to direct some of their influence, clout and energy toward Washington.

Obama came into office  on a wave of Millennial optimism and good feeling. While Gen Y so far as remained fairly silent about his performance, the Harvard poll suggests they are losing confidence in the government’s ability to resuscitate the economy:  “More young Americans now believe that the government’s efforts will hurt (30%) rather than help (26%) their financial situation. The majority, 41 percent, say these efforts will have no impact.” John Della Volpe, the Director of Polling for the Institute of Politics at Harvard,  says the numbers show that “If nothing else, this generation is fiercely independent and should not be taken for granted. Young people are no longer outliers — their opinions of Obama fall in line with rest of USA.”

For many Millennials, who in addition to unemployment are suffering from crushing college debt, jobs alone will not be enough to right their financial ships any time soon.

The average debt for a graduate is now $23,000. Many also have credit card debt exceeding $3,000.  Without relief from the burden of hundreds or thousands of dollars a month in loan repayments, it will be difficult to get their lives moving forward again. Little wonder a Vanguard blog recently christened Gen Y, ‘Gen D for ‘Debt’. The impact of the double whammy of no job and high debt is millions of lives set on hold. According to a study by Alliance Bernstein, 34% of those who graduated with college debt have had to sell personal possessions to make ends meet. More significantly for our collective economic recovery, they are deferring the usual life events that trigger spending and economic growth: 18% have delayed getting married, 44% have delayed purchasing a house, and 28% have delayed having children (see chart). Other deferments include medical procedures, home repairs, car repairs and more.

Source: Alliance Bernstein

Source: Alliance Bernstein

Coincidentally, According to the U.S. Department of Education , the total outstanding federal student loan debt exceeds $500 billion.  

That number sounds a lot like the kind of numbers we hear when Washington talks about the economic stimulus. I recently posed a question to Paul Solman, the financial journalist for NPR’s NewsHour via Twitter and their web site:

Question: Why isn’t some of the stimulus money being earmarked for college debt forgiveness, which would put money in the pockets of those most likely to spend it?

 He replied that it had been considered and shouldn’t be ruled out, but the idea currently has no momentum. That tells me it may not be such a dumb idea after all….

I am a marketer, not an economist or  politician. But it seems to me that a transfer of funds from the government to loan programswould be less complicated and surer to work than costly ’jobs creation’ programs.

The impact of this action on Millennials would be immediate. Once released from the increasingly desperate burden of finding a job and paying down debt, this creative generation could set about generating new businesses, jobs and and economic activity. Unlike the rest of us who would be likely to save a windfall,  Gen Y would spend it — smartly — for the benefit of all.

That’s my big idea. Gen Y, what do you think? Are you ready to mobilize?

  • You guys are the best !! Your going to go all the way, you have the heart and tons of loving fans to see that you do.
  • I am based in New Zealand and we havent felt the economic slowdown as much as other countries. I wonder whether the change in economic opportunities and debt might start to change the Western understanding of the family unit. This economic situation might mean that families stay closer connected and more involved and supportive of one another. When there is more money around then family members can tend to do their own thing and become more individual - maybe this will change and I for one think it will be a good thing because one of the reasons that young people are struggling in life is because they have lost their sense of belonging and community
  • I wonder how likely it is the private student loan companies will budge on their grip as well. I know the maximum federal loan amounts didn't come close to covering my full tuition and I didn't have any other place to go besides private lenders.

    I'm ready to mobilize. Honestly, I'm surprised there aren't more advocacy NGO's out there on this subject. This may be my next career move.
  • As a law student, I can tell you that this is a relatively hot topic. While most of us would love to no longer be carrying around 180k in debt upon graduation, I think there are incremental approaches to alleviating some of the burden of educational debt that also won't have everybody up in arms about the moral hazard of complete debt forgiveness. Something like interest-free deferrals until people have been employed for a year might work. Or letting students take a larger tax deduction (of interest paid) under some of the extant programs. Obviously the blend of federal and private loans adds an additional layer of complexity. But in the end all degrees aren't equal. Going to professional school is a different decision than getting a BA, and it's not clear that the government should be in the position of validating lots of fully informed but still crappy financial decisions.
  • I think it's a great idea - especially to forgive Stafford and Pell first, and then figure out a way to help with private loans. Maybe incentives for those studying certain disciplines?
  • I went to the Moorestown Mall today and everybody was sporting their Phillies gear. It's awesome! We are all cheering for you guys, we all know you can do it.
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